ATLANTICO, TRAYECTORIAS FUERA DE LO COMUN

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HURRICANE JOVA

Wind: 85 MPH — Location: 19.9N 105.1W — Movement: N

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TROPICAL STORM IRWIN

Wind: 40 MPH — Location: 15.2N 112.3W — Movement: ENE

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE-E

Wind: 35 MPH — Location: 14.7N 93.6W — Movement: N

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INVEST 99

Wind: 35 MPH — Location: 13.7 94.1W — Movement: N

This area of disturbed weather has the potential for tropical development.

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ATLANTIC TROPICAL SURFACE ANALYSIS

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SATELLITE IMAGERY

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GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO

430 AM CDT WED OCT 12 2011

SYNOPSIS

A 1009 MB LOW OVER THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE WITH TROUGH

TO 25N88W TO 1009 MB LOW NEAR 23N92W. THE FIRST LOW WILL MOVE NE

OF THE AREA TONIGHT AND THE SECOND LOW WILL DISSIPATE TONIGHT. A

WEAK COLD FRONT MOVES INTO THE NW GULF THU THEN EXTEND FROM

TAMPA BAY TO BAY OF CAMPECHE FRI AND E OF THE AREA SAT. STRONG

HIGH PRES BUILDS BEHIND THE FRONT ELY WINDS INCREASE OVER THE

WEEKEND.

NW GULF N OF 25N W OF 90W

INCLUDING THE FLOWER GARDEN BANKS NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY

430 AM CDT WED OCT 12 2011

TODAY AND TONIGHT

SE TO S WINDS 5 TO 10 KT SHIFTING TO SW N

OF 27N TONIGHT. SEAS 1 TO 2 FT.

THU AND THU NIGHT

NW TO N 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT.

FRI

N TO NE 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT S OF 28N AND 2 TO 4

FT N OF 28N.

SAT AND SUN

S OF 28N E OF 94W NE TO E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS

5 TO 7 FT AND 7 TO 9 FT IN SE SWELL LATE SAT. ELSEWHERE E WINDS

10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.

SW GULF S OF 25N W OF 90W (WEST PEGASUS)

430 AM CDT WED OCT 12 2011

TODAY

SE TO S WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT.

TONIGHT THROUGH THU NIGHT

WINDS BECOMING N TO NE 10 TO 15 KT.

SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS S OF 22N.

FRI

S OF 22N N TO NE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. N OF

22N NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT.

SAT AND SUN

E OF 96N NE WINDS INCREASING TO 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS

BUILDING TO 7 TO 10 FT. W OF 96W N TO NE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS

3 TO 5 FT...BUILDING TO 6 TO 8 FT IN NE SWELL. SCATTERED SHOWERS

AND TSTMS S OF 23N...BECOMING MORE NUMEROUS E AND SE PARTS.

MIDDLE GULF BETWEEN 85W AND 90W

430 AM CDT WED OCT 12 2011

TODAY AND TONIGHT

N OF 26N W TO NW WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS

SUBSIDING TO 2 FT OR LESS. S OF 26N VARIABLE WINDS 5 TO 10

KT...BECOMING E TO SE WED NIGHT. SEAS 1 TO 2 FT.

THU AND THU NIGHT

N OF 27N W TO NW WINDS INCREASING TO 10 TO

15 KT...THEN BECOMING NW TO N 15 TO 20 KT THU NIGHT. SEAS

BUILDING TO 2 TO 4 FT. S OF 27N WINDS BECOMING NE TO E 10 TO 15

KT. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS FAR S PORTION

FRI

N OF 27N N TO NE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. S OF

27N NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS

AND TSTMS SPREADING FROM E TO W OVER E PORTION.

SAT AND SUN

S OF 27N NE WINDS INCREASING TO 20 TO 25 KT...

EXCEPT FAR SE PART BECOMING SE TO S 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO

7 TO 10 FT W OF 87W...AND TO 5 TO 7 FT E OF 87W. N OF 27N NE TO

E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 4 TO 7 FT. SCATTERED TO

NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND TSTMS S PORTION.

E GULF BETWEEN 81W AND 85W

430 AM CDT WED OCT 12 2011

TODAY THROUGH THU

N OF 26N W TO NW WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 1 TO 2

FT. S OF 26N SW TO W WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 1 TO 2 FT.

THU NIGHT

N OF 26N W WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT. S OF

26N WINDS SHIFTING TO N TO NE 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT.

FRI

N OF 27N WINDS SHIFTING TO NW TO N 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. FROM

25N TO 27N N TO NE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 1 TO 2 FT. S OF 25N

WINDS BECOMING E 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 1 TO 2 FT.

SAT AND SUN

N OF 26N NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 3

TO 4 FT. S OF 26N E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 3 TO 5

FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS S OF 26N MAINLY W PORTION.

CARIBBEAN SEA

SYNOPSIS FOR CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC FROM 07N TO 22N

BETWEEN 55W AND 65W

530 AM EDT WED OCT 12 2011

.SYNOPSIS...A WEAK PRES PATTERN WILL MAINTAIN LIGHT TO MODERATE

WINDS OVER MUCH OF THE REGION THROUGH WED. WINDS WILL INCREASE

OVER THE TROPICAL N ATLC WED NIGHT THEN SPREAD W INTO E

CARIBBEAN THROUGH FRI AS A SURFACE RIDGE BUILDS N OF THE AREA.

BROAD LOW PRES ACROSS THE E PACIFIC WILL SHIFT INLAND ACROSS

CENTRAL AMERICA THU WITH BROAD LOW PRES OVER THE WESTERN

CARIBBEAN SAT AND SUN.

END

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